Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	19:30	Meraj Sport
Africa	—	DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Benin	16:00	Benin TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Botswana	17:00	YTV
Brazil	12:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	16:00	CRTV Sports
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Cote D Ivoire	15:00	NCI
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Eswatini	—	Eswatini TV
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	16:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	16:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Ireland	15:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	17:00	Sport 2
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 2, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Madagascar	18:00	MATV
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	20:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mauritius	19:00	MBC 11
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	16:00	NTA Sports, SuperSport Blitz, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	20:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Republic Of The Congo	—	Tele Congo
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	17:00	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	23:00	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Tanzania	18:00	UTV
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	15:00	Arsenal TV, BBC Radio 5 Live
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	22:00	FPT Play
International	15:00	Sport 24
Zambia	17:00	ZNBC 3


	Leeds United		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.53
	6.3	4.3	1.55
	6.15	4.15	1.61
	6.12	4.29	1.58	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.57
	6.56	4.37	1.58	Watch
	6	4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (6.06)	4.17 ↓ (4.33)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
15.8%

Draw
23%

Arsenal
61.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.8%

22.2%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

21.3%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Leeds United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	19%	70.7%

Leeds United - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 41 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 59% – 82.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Arsenal (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -2 - Arsenal (3.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Leeds (5.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Leeds (2.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Arsenal (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Darlow K. (G) 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 3. Gudmundsson G. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 44. Gruev I. 24. Justin J. 18. Stach A. 11. Aaronson B. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 5. Hincapie P. 29. Havertz K. 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 20. Madueke N. 14. Gyökeres V. 19. Trossard L.
Substitutes
23. Bornauw S. 40. Buonanotte F. 25. Byram S. 29. Gnonto W. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 19. Okafor N. 10. Piroe J. 22. Tanaka A.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 33. Calafiori R. 10. Eze E. 9. Gabriel Jesus 11. Martinelli G. 3. Mosquera C. 16. Norgaard C. (C) 8. Odegaard M. 4. White B.
Coaches
Farke D.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Zubimendi M. ⚽, Madueke N. (A),
37', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Darlow K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Justin J. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
46', Gruev I. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
59', Timber J. 🟨,
61', Havertz K. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
61', Madueke N. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Martinelli G. (A),
71', Aaronson B. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
75', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
76', Hincapie P. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
81', Stach A. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
81', Trossard L. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
85', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
86', 0 - 4, Gabriel Jesus ⚽, Odegaard M. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 0.

In recent matches, Leeds has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsenal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leeds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arsenal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Bijol J. (Hamstring Injury) Nmecha L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Dowman M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Gudmundsson G. (Muscle Injury) James D. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:23. (average 0.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13:5	8	21
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 62.39% Leeds: 0.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 61.97%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
26.01.26	Everton - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leeds United - Fulham	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Derby County - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Newcastle United - Leeds United	4:3 ✺
04.01.26	Leeds United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWLT
- Arsenal FC
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Arsenal - Kairat	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
25.01.26	Arsenal - Manchester United	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Inter Milan - Arsenal	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
17.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
23.08.25	Arsenal - Leeds United	5:0
01.04.23	Arsenal - Leeds United	4:1
16.10.22	Leeds United - Arsenal	0:1
08.05.22	Arsenal - Leeds United	2:1
18.12.21	Leeds United - Arsenal	1:4
English League Cup
26.10.21	Arsenal - Leeds United	2:0
English Premier League
14.02.21	Arsenal - Leeds United	4:2

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