Match Info

Championship - Round 41

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Norwich City		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.6
	2.18	3.47	3.27	Watch
	2.2	3.42	3.3	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.7
	2.3	3.64	3.1	Watch
	2.18	3.47	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.36)	3.47 ↓ (3.56)	3.05 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
41.2%

Draw
27.5%

Sunderland
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

26.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	21.7%	17.4%

Norwich City - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Sunderland will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 41% – 80.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Sunderland (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Norwich (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Norwich (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norwich City will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Sunderland (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gunn A. (G) 16. Wright J. 4. Duffy S. 33. Cordoba J. 35. Fisher K. 26. Nunez M. 23. McLean K. (C) 29. Schwartau O. 20. Slimane A. 7. Sainz B. 9. Sargent J.	1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 33. Hjelde L. F. 8. Browne A. 4. Neil D. (C) 11. Rigg C. 30. Aleksic M. 12. Mayenda E. 40. Watson T.
Substitutes
43. Djedje U. 18. Forson A. 8. Gibbs L. 12. Long G. (G) 11. Marcondes E. 15. McConville R. 50. Mundle Smith E. 19. Sorensen J. 3. Stacey J.	45. Anderson J. 51. Bainbridge O. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 49. Lavery T. 28. Le Fee E. 55. Middlemas B. 21. Moore S. (G) 10. Roberts P.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', O'Nien L. 🟨,
32', Watson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Schwartau O. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
50', Fisher K. 🟨,
53', McLean K. 🟨,
57', Hjelde L. F. 🟨,
68', Aleksic M. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
69', Hjelde L. F. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
69', Watson T. ↓, Le Fee E. ↑,
76', Slimane A. ↓, Forson A. ↑,
82', Rigg C. ↓, Jones H. ↑,
85', Fisher K. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
85', Wright J. ↓, Sorensen J. ↑,
86', Jones H. 🟨,
90+3', Nunez M. ↓, McConville R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Norwich won 2.

Norwich is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Ankle Injury) Dobbin L. (Calf Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Gibbs L. (Hamstring Injury) Mahovo L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Calf Injury) Alese A. (Broken Leg) Ballard D. (Hamstring Injury) Cirkin D. (Hamstring Injury) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Groin Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Mundle R. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Norwich won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Norwich City - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
05.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Bristol City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Norwich City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:3 ✺
07.03.25	Norwich City - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLT
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
05.04.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sunderland - Millwall	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	Sunderland - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sunderland - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.12.24	Sunderland - Norwich City	2:1
02.03.24	Norwich City - Sunderland	1:0
28.10.23	Sunderland - Norwich City	3:1
12.03.23	Norwich City - Sunderland	0:1
27.08.22	Sunderland - Norwich City	0:1
10.04.18	Sunderland - Norwich City	1:1
13.08.17	Norwich City - Sunderland	1:3

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