Match Info

Championship - Round 40

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
Usa	Paramount+


	Plymouth Argyle		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.7	1.8
	4.29	3.72	1.82	Watch
	4.22	3.83	1.81	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.8
	4.82	3.86	1.77	Watch
	4.29	3.72	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (4.13)	3.74 ↑ (3.65)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
21.5%

Draw
25.5%

Norwich City
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

25.9%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.8%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Plymouth Argyle - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Norwich will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hazard C. (G) 6. Szucs K. 25. Katic N. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 20. Randell A. (C) 4. Houghton J. 2. Mumba B. 9. Hardie R. 15. Bundu M. 14. Obafemi M.	1. Gunn A. (G) 3. Stacey J. 4. Duffy S. 33. Cordoba J. 35. Fisher K. 26. Nunez M. 23. McLean K. (C) 11. Marcondes E. 17. Crnac A. 9. Sargent J. 7. Sainz B.
Substitutes
8. Edwards J. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 18. Gyabi D. 35. Issaka F. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 17. Puchacz T. 26. Tijani M. 11. Wright C.	49. Bridge A. 18. Forson A. 25. Hernandez O. 12. Long G. (G) 15. McConville R. 29. Schwartau O. 20. Slimane A. 19. Sorensen J. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Thorup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Hardie R. ⚽, Randell A. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Hardie R. ⚽, Bundu M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stacey J. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
46', Nunez M. ↓, Slimane A. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Sargent J. ⚽, Fisher K. (A),
63', Houghton J. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
63', Obafemi M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
69', Marcondes E. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
77', Katic N. ↓, Palsson V. ↑,
77', Cordoba J. ↓, McConville R. ↑,
77', Fisher K. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
89', Hardie R. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
89', Sorinola M. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 10).

Plymouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Norwich is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Norwich is a favorite.

There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Talovierov M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Ankle Injury) Dobbin L. (Calf Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Gibbs L. (Hamstring Injury) Mahovo L. (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 2.7:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
29.03.25	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Plymouth Argyle - Derby County	2:3 ✺
12.03.25	Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday	0:3 ✺
04.03.25	Hull City - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWLL
- Norwich City
English League Championship
29.03.25	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Bristol City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Norwich City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:3 ✺
07.03.25	Norwich City - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Blackburn Rovers - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.11.24	Norwich City - Plymouth Argyle	6:1
29.03.24	Norwich City - Plymouth Argyle	2:1
23.09.23	Plymouth Argyle - Norwich City	6:2

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