Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)


	Nottingham Forest		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.25
	1.63	3.8	5.5
	1.66	4	5.5
	1.66	3.7	5.6
	1.67	3.89	5.57
	1.53	4	5.8
	1.65	3.9	5.3	Watch
	1.6	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.49)	3.87 ↓ (4.37)	5.49 ↓ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
58.2%

Draw
24.5%

Bristol City
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

21.6%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

21.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	7.1%	17.9%

Nottingham Forest - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Bristol City will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Turner M. (G) 32. Omobamidele A. 18. Felipe 19. Niakhate M. 29. Montiel G. 8. Kouyate C. 28. Danilo 15. Toffolo H. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 27. Origi D. 21. Elanga A.	1. O'Leary M. (G) 2. McCrorie R. 26. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 24. Roberts H. 10. King A. 8. Williams J. 20. Bell S. 12. Knight J. (C) 11. Mehmeti A. 15. Conway T.
Substitutes
56. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 53. Gardner J. 14. Hudson-Odoi C. 40. Murillo 49. Osong D. E. 3. Tavares N. 23. Vlachodimos O. (G) 7. Williams N.	37. Backwell T. 23. Bajic S. (G) 9. Cornick H. 6. James M. 27. Knight-Lebel J. 19. Tanner G. 38. Taylor-Clarke O. 21. Wells N.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Manning L.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nottingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nottingham have a series of guest games.

Recently Bristol City have a series of home games.

In this match Nottingham is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
04.02.24	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
26.01.24	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
20.01.24	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.01.24	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTLW
- Bristol City
English League Championship
02.02.24	Bristol City - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
30.01.24	Coventry City - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
26.01.24	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
English League Championship
20.01.24	Bristol City - Watford	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.01.24	Bristol City - West Ham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
26.01.24	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	0:0
English League Championship
26.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	2:0
19.10.21	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	1:2
10.04.21	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	0:0
03.10.20	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	1:2
01.07.20	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	1:0
23.11.19	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	0:0

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