Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bournemouth		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.7
	2	3.55	3.85
	1.84	3.92	4.43
	1.98	3.82	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)	3.76 ↓ (3.97)	3.94 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
49.8%

Draw
25.7%

Nottingham Forest
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

23.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	10.2%	8.7%

Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Bournemouth (2.74) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

DC - draw (1.91) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Bournemouth (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nottingham (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (101 of 122 users predict this - 82.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 89.49%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bournemouth will win (56 of 61 users predict this - 91.8%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 66 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 59 - 89.4%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 4.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 6.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 44. Milosavljevic V. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 12. Adams T. 16. Tavernier M. (C) 19. Kluivert J. 24. Semenyo A. 22. Kroupi E. J.	26. Sels M. (G) 37. Savona N. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 12. Douglas Luiz 8. Anderson E. 14. Ndoye D. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 40. Dennis W. (G) 18. Diakite B. 11. Doak B. 6. Soler J. 26. Unal E.	9. Awoniyi T. 23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 21. Hutchinson O. 13. John Victor (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 4. Morato 6. Sangare I. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Kluivert J. 🟨,
18', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Tavernier M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Adams T. (A),
44', Dyche S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Igor Jesus ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
46', Douglas Luiz ↓, Yates R. ↑,
46', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
63', Senesi M. 🟨,
69', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
69', Kluivert J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
80', Scott A. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
83', Ndoye D. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
87', Brooks D. 🟨,
89', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
90+2', Semenyo A. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
90+2', Tavernier M. ↓, Cook L. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 2.

Bournemouth is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nottingham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nottingham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bournemouth is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Brooks D. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Bakwa D. (Injury) Zinchenko O. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Evanilson (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
18.10.25	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	3:3 ✺
03.10.25	Bournemouth - Fulham	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Leeds United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Bournemouth - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTTW
- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Nottingham Forest - Porto	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
18.10.25	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.01.25	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	5:0
17.08.24	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	1:1
04.02.24	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	1:1
23.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	2:3
21.01.23	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	1:1
03.09.22	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	2:3
English League Championship
03.05.22	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	1:0

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