Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	6.25
	1.33	5	9.75
	1.6	4.05	6.1
	1.59	3.99	6.17
	1.6	3.95	5.85	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5.75
	1.6	4.02	6.44
	1.58	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.34)	4.08 ↓ (5.09)	6.54 ↓ (9.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
61.8%

Draw
23.5%

Ferencvárosi
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

18.8%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

18.2%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.1%	7.1%	26.8%

Nottingham Forest - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 37 - 66.1%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 15 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 53.7% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ferencvárosi (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Ferencvárosi (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 21 - 75%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 44. Abbott Z. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 3. Williams N. 24. McAtee J. 22. Yates R. (C) 6. Sangare I. 14. Ndoye D. 19. Igor Jesus 16. Dominguez N.	99. Grof D. (G) 27. Cisse I. (C) 23. Otvos B. 22. Szalai G. 25. Makreckis C. 66. Romao J. 36. Kanichowsky G. 10. Levi J. 20. Cadu 11. Dele 16. Zachariassen K.
Substitutes
34. Aina O. 29. Bakwa D. 10. Gibbs-White M. 18. Gunn A. (G) 64. Hammond B. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 5. Murillo 61. Sinclair J. 58. Thompson J. 51. Whitehall A. 67. Willows K. (G)	62. Golik B. J. 30. Gruber Z. 75. Joseph L. 5. Keita N. 71. Lakatos C. 72. Madarasz A. 77. Nagy B. 82. Toth Z. (G) 1. Varga A. (G)
Coaches
Dyche S.	Keane R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Otvos B. (Own goal), Yates R. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Igor Jesus ⚽, Yates R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Levi J. ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Igor Jesus ⚽, Sangare I. (A),
66', Williams N. ↓, Aina O. ↑,
66', Igor Jesus ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
66', Sangare I. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
73', Dele ↓, Gruber Z. ↑,
73', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Keita N. ↑,
76', Dominguez N. 🟨,
78', Milenkovic N. ↓, Murillo ↑,
84', Zachariassen K. ↓, Madarasz A. ↑,
84', Dominguez N. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
89', Otvos B. 🟨,
90', 4 - 0, McAtee J. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Romao J. ↓, Golik B. J. ↑,

Preview

Nottingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferencvárosi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Nottingham has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nottingham is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Anderson E. (Red Card) Awoniyi T. (Inactive) Cuiabano (Inactive) Cunha (Inactive) Hutchinson O. (Inactive) John Victor (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Gartenmann S. (Injury) Gomez M. (Inactive) Keita N. (Inactive) Raemaekers T. (Yellow Cards) Varga A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Dibusz D. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ferencvaros: 0.78%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
25.01.26	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Braga - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
17.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Wrexham - Nottingham Forest	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLTLW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
25.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Győri ETO	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Panathinaikos	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Midtjylland - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
12.01.26	Rapid Wien - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL

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