Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	16:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	06:30	Stan Sport
Austria	20:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	14:30	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet World
Chile	16:30	Disney+
China	03:30	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	20:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	21:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	20:30	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	02:30	Vidio
Italy	20:30	DAZN Italia
Kazakhstan	01:30	Qazsport
Kenya	22:30	Gotv
Malaysia	03:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:30	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	13:30	Fox Sports
Mongolia	03:30	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
Nigeria	20:30	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Poland	20:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	19:30	Sport TV3
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:30	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	22:30	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+


	Wrexham		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.79
	4.6	3.75	1.65
	4.15	3.7	1.85
	3.95	3.42	1.93	Watch
	4	3.4	1.8
	4.22	3.62	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (5.13)	3.61 ↓ (3.97)	1.81 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
22.4%

Draw
25.8%

Nottingham Forest
51.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.2%

23.5%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.2%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nottingham Forest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nottingham Forest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	18.2%	50%

Wrexham - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Wrexham (8.38) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Wrexham (3.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 5. Hyam D. (C) 24. Scarr D. 2. Doyle C. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 18. Sheaf B. 13. Cacace L. 20. Rathbone O. 28. Smith S. 33. Broadhead N.	26. Sels M. (C) 37. Savona N. 23. Cunha 4. Morato 35. Zinchenko O. 12. Douglas Luiz 24. McAtee J. 14. Ndoye D. 21. Hutchinson O. 29. Bakwa D. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
45. Ashfield H. 29. Barnett R. 25. Burton C. (G) 6. Coady C. 7. McClean J. 27. O'Brien L. 16. Rodriguez J. 14. Thomason G. 10. Windass J.	44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 16. Dominguez N. 10. Gibbs-White M. 18. Gunn A. (G) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Cacace L. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Rathbone O. ⚽, Broadhead N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Zinchenko O. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
46', Bakwa D. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
46', McAtee J. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
60', Cacace L. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽, Savona N. (A),
69', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
69', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
69', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Hyam D. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
76', 3 - 2, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽,
87', Hutchinson O. 🟨,
88', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
88', Douglas Luiz ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
88', Sheaf B. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
89', 3 - 3, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽, Savona N. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
97', Savona N. ↓, Murillo ↑,
100', Smith S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
112', Morato 🟨,
112', Dominguez N. 🟨,
120', Windass J. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Windass J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Gibbs-White M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, McClean J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Igor Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
3, Doyle C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hudson-Odoi C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Thomason G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Williams N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hutchinson O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Wrexham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nottingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.

We predict that Wrexham will win today's game, with odds of 4.06.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Nottingham: 1.74% Wrexham: 0.56%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
04.01.26	Derby County - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Wrexham - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Wrexham - Sheffield United	5:3 ✺
19.12.25	Swansea City - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

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