Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wrexham		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.79
	4.6	3.75	1.65
	4.15	3.7	1.85
	3.95	3.42	1.93	Watch
	4	3.4	1.8
	4.22	3.62	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (5.13)	3.61 ↓ (3.97)	1.81 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
22.4%

Draw
25.8%

Nottingham Forest
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

23.5%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

22.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nottingham Forest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	18.2%	50%

Wrexham - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Wrexham (8.38) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Wrexham (3.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 5. Hyam D. (C) 24. Scarr D. 2. Doyle C. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 18. Sheaf B. 13. Cacace L. 20. Rathbone O. 28. Smith S. 33. Broadhead N.	26. Sels M. (C) 37. Savona N. 23. Cunha 4. Morato 35. Zinchenko O. 12. Douglas Luiz 24. McAtee J. 14. Ndoye D. 21. Hutchinson O. 29. Bakwa D. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
45. Ashfield H. 29. Barnett R. 25. Burton C. (G) 6. Coady C. 7. McClean J. 27. O'Brien L. 16. Rodriguez J. 14. Thomason G. 10. Windass J.	44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 16. Dominguez N. 10. Gibbs-White M. 18. Gunn A. (G) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Cacace L. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Rathbone O. ⚽, Broadhead N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Zinchenko O. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
46', Bakwa D. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
46', McAtee J. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
60', Cacace L. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽, Savona N. (A),
69', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
69', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
69', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Hyam D. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
76', 3 - 2, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽,
87', Hutchinson O. 🟨,
88', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
88', Douglas Luiz ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
88', Sheaf B. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
89', 3 - 3, Hudson-Odoi C. ⚽, Savona N. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
97', Savona N. ↓, Murillo ↑,
100', Smith S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
112', Morato 🟨,
112', Dominguez N. 🟨,
120', Windass J. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Windass J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Gibbs-White M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, McClean J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Igor Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
3, Doyle C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hudson-Odoi C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Thomason G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Williams N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hutchinson O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Wrexham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nottingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.

We predict that Wrexham will win today's game, with odds of 4.06.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Nottingham: 1.6% Wrexham: 0.51%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
04.01.26	Derby County - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Wrexham - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Wrexham - Sheffield United	5:3 ✺
19.12.25	Swansea City - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

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