Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max
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Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
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Norway	TV2 Play, TV3+, Viaplay
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Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
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Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Braga		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.55
	3	3.2	2.55
	2.75	3.5	2.31
	2.77	3.16	2.71	Watch
	2.9	3	2.45
	3.17	3.18	2.49
	3	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.75)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)	2.51 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
32.4%

Draw
29.9%

Nottingham Forest
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.4%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	36.8%	42.1%

Braga - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Nottingham will win (votes: 16 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 26.4% – 57.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 3 - 25%). Nottingham (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Nottingham (1.79) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Braga (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Braga (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Nottingham (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hornicek L. (G) 2. Gomez V. 14. Lagerbielke G. 4. Niakate S. 50. Rodrigues D. 27. Grillitsch F. 29. Gorby 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 77. Martinez G. 39. Navarro F. 21. Horta R. (C)	26. Sels M. (G) 37. Savona N. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 34. Aina O. 29. Bakwa D. 22. Yates R. (C) 12. Douglas Luiz 24. McAtee J. 14. Ndoye D. 10. Gibbs-White M.
Substitutes
72. Aragao J. 36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 20. Dorgeles M. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 5. Lelo L. 8. Moutinho J. 15. Oliveira P. 12. Sa T. (G) 18. Victor P. 95. Vidigal S. 6. Vitor Carvalho	44. Abbott Z. 8. Anderson E. 16. Dominguez N. 18. Gunn A. (G) 64. Hammond B. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 6. Sangare I. 61. Sinclair J. 58. Thompson J. 51. Whitehall A. 3. Williams N. 67. Willows K. (G)
Coaches
Vicens C.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Niakate S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Niakate S. ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
50', Martinez G. 🟨,
53', Gibbs-White M. (Penalty Awarded),
54', 1 - 0, Yates R. (Own goal),
55', Sa T. 🟨,
62', Navarro F. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
62', Grillitsch F. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
69', Douglas Luiz ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
69', McAtee J. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
69', Aina O. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
75', Horta R. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
76', Bakwa D. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
83', Yates R. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
84', Williams N. 🟨,
85', Martinez G. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
90', Ndoye D. 🟨,
90+5', Anderson E. 🟥,
90+5', Sangare I. 🟨,

Preview

Braga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nottingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Braga has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A. (Foot Injury) Merheg S. J. (Inactive) Noro J. (Inactive) Vidigal S. (Injury) Zalazar R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Nottingham: Cuiabano (Inactive) Cunha (Inactive) Hutchinson O. (Inactive) John Victor (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Braga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Braga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Tondela - Braga	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Fafe - Braga	2:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
10.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Braga	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Benfica - Braga	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.01.26	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWT
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
17.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Wrexham - Nottingham Forest	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.16	Braga - Nottingham Forest	0:3

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