What is the expert prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, May 11, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2, Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Tubi TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab


	Nottingham Forest		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7.5
	1.4	5	7.25
	1.39	5.2	8.4	Watch
	1.41	5.19	8.14
	1.42	5.08	7.54	Watch
	1.4	4.8	7.5
	1.41	5.14	8.35	Watch
	1.39	5.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	5.08 ↓ (5.45)	7.89 ↓ (9.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
68.8%

Draw
19%

Leicester City
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.7%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

10.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	8.6%	8.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 56 - 84.8%). Leicester will win (votes: 4 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 76.1% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Nottingham (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Nottingham (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 44 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 40 - 90.9%). Leicester (votes: 3 - 6.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 7. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 16. Dominguez N. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 21. Elanga A. 11. Wood Ch.	41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 4. Coady C. 3. Faes W. 33. Thomas L. 6. Ndidi W. 22. Skipp O. 35. McAteer K. 18. Ayew J. 11. El Khannouss B. 9. Vardy J. (C)
Substitutes
44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 30. Boly W. 33. Carlos Miguel (G) 28. Danilo 20. Jota Silva 24. Sosa R. 15. Toffolo H. 22. Yates R.	40. Buonanotte F. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Daka P. 91. Evans J. 31. Iversen D. (G) 16. Kristiansen V. 93. Monga J. 5. Okoli C. 24. Soumare B.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Coady C. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Elanga A. (A),
39', Justin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Wood Ch. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
59', Thomas L. 🟨,
60', Morato 🟨,
60', Skipp O. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
61', Ayew J. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
69', Aina O. 🟨,
73', Anderson E. 🟨,
74', Dominguez N. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
77', Thomas L. ↓, Kristiansen V. ↑,
77', McAteer K. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
79', Buonanotte F. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Buonanotte F. ⚽, Vardy J. (A),
83', Sangare I. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
90+1', Anderson E. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
90+3', El Khannouss B. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Leicester is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nottingham is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Hudson-Odoi C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: De Cordova-Reid B. (Injury) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Groin Injury) Mavididi S. (Muscle Injury) Pereira R. (Muscle Injury) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury) Winks H. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Thigh Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
05.05.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
01.05.25	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.04.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.04.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLWL
- Leicester City
English Premier League
03.05.25	Leicester City - Southampton	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Leicester City - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
07.04.25	Leicester City - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.10.24	Leicester City - Nottingham Forest	1:3
14.01.23	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	2:0
03.10.22	Leicester City - Nottingham Forest	4:0
English FA Cup
06.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	4:1
English League Championship
19.02.14	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	2:2
09.11.13	Leicester City - Nottingham Forest	0:2
04.05.13	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	2:3

Nottingham Forest - Leicester City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide