The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Preston North End 33.3%
Draw 30.5%
Nottingham Forest 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
28.6%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
21%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston North End that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nottingham Forest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Preston North End - Nottingham Forest Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 9).
Preston has the most likely position - 14 (12.26%), has project points - 62, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 10 (9.23%), has project points - 68, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality46, small importance16, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 1.
Recent matches Preston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nottingham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Preston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Preston won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
Watch
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