The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 55.2%
Draw 22.7%
Bristol Rovers 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
22.2%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
24.1%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Notts County - Bristol Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 12. Ness L. 3. McDonald R. (C) 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 8. Norburn O. 14. Iorpenda T. 10. Jones J. 16. Luker J. 11. Grant C. 29. Jatta A.
13. Young B. (G) 2. Senior J. 17. Balmer K. 26. Harbottle R. (C) 3. Sparkes J. 36. Smallwood R. 6. Mola C. 15. De Havilland R. 7. Forde S. 19. Harrison E. 9. Omochere P.
Substitutes
19. Dennis M. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 17. Kouhyar Q. 39. Ndlovu L. 18. Palmer M. 20. Robertson S.
10. Akhamrich Y. 29. Cavegn F. 25. Howley R. 24. Leigh T. 27. Quigley J. 35. Rijks M. 1. Southwood L. (G)
Coaches
Paterson M.
Evans S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
20', Forde S. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Tsaroulla N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Havilland R. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
46', Omochere P. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Harrison E. ⚽, Leigh T. (A),
58', Norburn O. ↓, Palmer M. ↑,
59', Luker J. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
59', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
65', Mola C. 🟨,
71', Jatta A. 🟨,
72', Mola C. ↓, Howley R. ↑,
73', Jones J. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
73', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
75', Palmer M. 🟨,
77', Akhamrich Y. 🟨,
79', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
79', Forde S. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bristol Rovers is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Platt M.
(Inactive)
Tangen H.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A.
(Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Bristol Rovers: 8.17%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Bristol Rovers
10
5
0
5
15:17
-2
15
Last Results with these Odds
Bristol Rovers - the odds 4.5 are the expected chance of winning is 20.7%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.