The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 37.6%
Draw 25.6%
Grimsby Town 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
25.2%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
25%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notts County's form might have worsened.
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grimsby Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grimsby Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Notts County - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 2.5% โ 64.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/E Goals, 2nd Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Notts County (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 88%) โญ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grimsby (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Griffiths H. (G) 44. Baker M. 3. McDonald R. 23. Browne L. 10. Longelo-Mbule R. 18. Palmer M. (C) 11. Grant C. 26. Samuels-Smith I. 7. Roberts C. 17. Kouhyar Q. 19. Smyth L.
1. Cartwright H. (G) 12. Foulkes J. 26. Pruti E. 24. Tharme D. (C) 36. Graham A. 16. Staunton R. 23. Brown H. 8. Doyle C. 7. Walker J. 28. Cartwright F. 10. Finch S.
Substitutes
4. Bedeau J. 1. Belshaw J. (G) 8. Cooper O. 15. Evans J. 50. Lodge G. 49. Muir K. 12. Ness L.
14. Amaluzor J. 41. Auton S. (G) 2. Kacurri M. 49. Manyika C. 48. Neagu D. 47. Sharp E. 3. Sweeney J.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', McDonald R. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Roberts C. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
34', Roberts C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cartwright H. ↓, Auton S. ↑,
62', Tharme D. ↓, Kacurri M. ↑,
68', Smyth L. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
68', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
73', Staunton R. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
73', Finch S. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
77', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Bedeau J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Sweeney J. ⚽, Walker J. (A),
84', Walker J. ↓, Neagu D. ↑,
89', Palmer M. 🟨,
90+6', Sweeney J. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, Cooper O. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
In recent outings, Notts County has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Grimsby is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Notts County holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Notts County has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:29 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Notts County against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.4 per game).
Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now
Notts County: 1.89% Grimsby: 0.99%
Last Results with these Odds
Grimsby Town - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Griffiths H. (G) 
Baker M. 
Browne L. 
Kouhyar Q. 
Smyth L. 
Pruti E. 
Walker J. 
Bedeau J. 
Neagu D. 
Paterson M. 
Artell D. 
