Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Novara		Como

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.75
	2.1	3.4	2.95
	2.02	3.05	3.45
	2.06	2.9	3.5
	2.13	3.17	3.56
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.09	3.2	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)	3.24 ↓ (3.65)	3.42 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
44.9%

Draw
28.3%

Como
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.8%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

16.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Novara - Como Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Como is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Serie B

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Novara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Novara won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.21	Olbia - Novara	3:3 ✺
18.04.21	Novara - Pistoiese	3:2 ✺
11.04.21	Pro Patria - Novara	1:3 ✺
03.04.21	Novara - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
28.03.21	Novara - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWTW
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.21	Como - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	Livorno - Como	1:2 ✺
14.04.21	Olbia - Como	3:0 ✺
11.04.21	Como - Grosseto	2:2 ✺
03.04.21	Carrarese - Como	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.01.21	Como - Novara	1:0
10.11.19	Novara - Como	2:1
Italian Serie B
13.02.16	Como - Novara	1:1
28.09.15	Novara - Como	0:2
Club Friendly
29.08.15	Novara - Como	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
04.03.15	Como - Novara	1:0
09.11.14	Novara - Como	4:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺
- Calcio Como
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	Lens - Como	✺
Italian Serie A
01.11.26	Como - Venezia	✺

Novara - Como