Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Novo Hamburgo		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.65
	6.5	3.1	1.63
	6	3.2	1.57	Watch
	5.2	3.3	1.62
	6.67	3.22	1.62
	5.8	3.1	1.61
	5.6	3.42	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↑ (5.2)	3.25 ↑ (3.08)	1.62 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novo Hamburgo
15.6%

Draw
28.1%

Grêmio
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

29.9%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

17.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novo Hamburgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Novo Hamburgo - Grêmio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Gaucho (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Gaucho (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburgo won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Grêmio is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hamburgo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburgo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
27.02.22	Novo Hamburgo - Aimoré	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Caxias - Novo Hamburgo	3:1 ✺
16.02.22	Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
09.02.22	Internacional RS - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWTT
- Grêmio RS
Copa do Brasil
01.03.22	Mirassol - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
19.02.22	Grêmio - São Luiz	4:0 ✺
16.02.22	Frederiquense - Grêmio	3:1 ✺
13.02.22	Grêmio - Juventude	1:1 ✺
09.02.22	Aimoré - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.04.21	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	3:1
02.08.20	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	4:3
29.07.20	Novo Hamburgo - Grêmio	0:0
20.01.19	Novo Hamburgo - Grêmio	0:4
24.02.18	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	3:0
23.04.17	Novo Hamburgo - Grêmio	2:1 penalties
16.04.17	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	1:1

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