Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 14

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Parma		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.16	3.15	4.07
	2.15	3.15	4.07
	1.85	3.25	4
	2.04	3.3	3.72	Watch
	2.07	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.9)	3.16 ↓ (3.41)	3.86 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
45.7%

Draw
29.8%

Modena
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Parma - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 4. Balogh B. 14. Ansaldi C. 19. Sohm S. 8. Estevez N. 98. Man D. 10. Bernabe A. 7. Benedyczak A. 13. Bonny A.	12. Seculin A. (G) 3. Ponsi F. 19. Zaro G. 4. Pergreffi A. 7. Duca E. 6. Magnino L. 5. Palumbo A. 29. Cotali M. 11. Falcinelli D. 17. Manconi J. 10. Tremolada L.
Substitutes
23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 39. Circati A. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 64. Cyprien W. 77. Di Chiara G. 20. Hainaut A. 28. Mihaila V. 21. Partipilo A. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.	9. Bonfanti N. 30. Bozhanaj K. 26. Gagno R. (G) 21. Giovannini R. 8. Guiebre A. 42. Mondele L. 99. Oukhadda S. 22. Vandelli F. (G) 24. Vukusic R. 16. Waibl S.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Bianco P.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Parma will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Parma won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
12.11.23	Lecco - Parma	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.11.23	Lecce - Parma	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
20.10.23	Parma - Como	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
11.11.23	Modena - Sampdoria	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Catanzaro - Modena	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Modena - Ternana	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Brescia - Modena	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bari - Modena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.04.23	Modena - Parma	1:1
26.11.22	Parma - Modena	1:2
Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.16	Parma - Modena	3:1
27.08.16	Modena - Parma	0:0

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