Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Spezia		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.6
	2.65	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.81	3.22	2.77
	2.81	3.22	2.77
	2.45	3.2	2.7
	2.67	3.26	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)	3.24 ↓ (3.24)	2.67 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
35.4%

Draw
29.2%

Parma
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Spezia - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zoet J. (G) 27. Amian K. 23. Muhl L. 43. Nikolaou D. 7. Elia S. 17. Zurkowski S. 10. Esposito Sa. 25. Bandinelli F. 80. Kouda R. 99. Verde D. 9. Esposito F.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 23. Camara D. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 4. Balogh B. 17. Colak A. 28. Mihaila V. 8. Estevez N. 27. Hernani 77. Di Chiara G. 39. Circati A. 98. Man D.
Substitutes
48. Antonucci M. 36. Candelari P. 11. Cipot T. 21. Corradini G. 26. Cugnata C. 69. Dragowski B. (G) 8. Ekdal A. 33. Gelashvili I. 19. Krollis R. 24. Moro L. 4. Moutinho J. 15. Pietra N. 40. Zovko P. (G)	14. Ansaldi C. 11. Begic T. 10. Bernabe A. 13. Bonny A. 9. Charpentier G. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 64. Cyprien W. 20. Hainaut A. 3. Osorio Y. 21. Partipilo A. 22. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
D'Angelo L.	Pecchia F.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Spezia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Parma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Parma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Spezia have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.11.23	Sampdoria - Spezia	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Spezia - Ternana	2:2 ✺
08.11.23	Lecco - Spezia	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Cremonese - Spezia	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Parma - Modena	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lecco - Parma	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.11.23	Lecce - Parma	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.02.21	Spezia - Parma	2:2
25.10.20	Parma - Spezia	2:2
Italian Serie B
18.05.18	Spezia - Parma	0:2
27.12.17	Parma - Spezia	0:0

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