Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Reggina		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.2	3.05	3.55
	2.12	3.26	4.02
	2.04	3.38	3.68	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.27)	3.2 ↑ (3)	3.7 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
44.9%

Draw
29.5%

Modena
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

32.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	21.4%	35.7%

Reggina - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Modena will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 6 (11.16%), has project points - 55, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (61%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Modena has the most likely position - 8 (9.32%), has project points - 53, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, small importance 23, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Reggio Calabria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Modena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Reggio Calabria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
18.02.23	Cittadella - Reggina	3:2 ✺
11.02.23	Reggina - Pisa	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Palermo - Reggina	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggina	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Reggina - Ternana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
19.02.23	Modena - Genoa	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Brescia - Modena	0:1 ✺
03.02.23	Modena - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Ternana - Modena	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.10.22	Modena - Reggina	1:0
25.03.14	Reggina - Modena	2:2
19.10.13	Modena - Reggina	3:0
09.02.13	Modena - Reggina	1:1
15.09.12	Reggina - Modena	2:2
Coppa Italia
18.08.12	Modena - Reggina	N/A

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