Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 21

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Ogre United		Smiltene

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.7	8.6
	1.04	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.24	5.65	8.6
	1.2	6	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.2)	4.59 ↓ (5.75)	6.8 ↓ (10.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre United
70%

Draw
17.9%

Smiltene
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

15.8%

8.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ogre United's form might have worsened.

Smiltene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ogre United - Smiltene Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ogre United (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ogre United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Biscuhis K. (G) 5. Hayashi K. 19. Jamonts K. 14. Juhnovics R. 7. Kumakura K. 4. Mamich D. (C) 3. Marusiy T. 16. Mashchenko V. 9. Silagailis H. 88. Stepanovs V. 2. Ziemelis R.	95. Sausais D. (C) 4. Bleikss R. 10. Bokta M. 21. Cipruss S. 16. Gaismins V. 7. Lapins J. 3. Mikelsons M. 15. Sislakovs R. 77. Snepsts K. 88. Stipnieks E. 9. Zvirbulis K.
Substitutes
30. Hvoinickis D. 10. Kalnins M. 15. Licis K. 11. Pacepko M. 1. Perkons E. (G) 21. Salins D. 8. Skujins R. 22. Sprukulis K.	99. Eglitis E. (G) 17. Grosbergs K. 6. Rubnikovics T. 5. Spalvins M. 11. Tomass E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Sislakovs R. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Jamonts K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jamonts K. ↓, Hvoinickis D. ↑,
54', Silagailis H. 🟨,
59', Cipruss S. 🟨,
65', Silagailis H. ↓, Pacepko M. ↑,
68', Mikelsons M. ↓, Grosbergs K. ↑,
74', Stepanovs V. ↓, Salins D. ↑,
74', Mashchenko V. ↓, Sprukulis K. ↑,
76', Snepsts K. 🟨,
76', Snepsts K. ↓, Tomass E. ↑,
90', Gaismins V. ↓, Spalvins M. ↑,
90', Bokta M. ↓, Rubnikovics T. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: ) and 10).

Ogre United has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Smiltene's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ogre United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ogre United is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ogre United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ogre United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ogre United
Latvian 1 Liga
20.09.25	Ogre United - Riga Mariners	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ogre United - Augšdaugavas	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Ogre United	0:7 ✺
23.08.25	Ogre United - Rēzekne	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Ogre United - JFK Ventspils	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
20.09.25	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Olaine - Smiltene	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Leevon PPK - Smiltene	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Mārupe - Smiltene	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Smiltene - Skanstes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
18.05.25	Smiltene - Ogre United	3:1
19.10.24	Smiltene - Ogre United	0:2
29.06.24	Ogre United - Smiltene	2:2

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