Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	Oita Trinita		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	3.75	3.2	1.91
	3.8	3.15	1.88
	4.3	3.25	1.85
	4.44	3.59	1.88
	4.2	3.2	1.88
	4.2	3.25	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.71)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	1.86 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
22.4%

Draw
28.2%

Tokyo
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

22.9%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tokyo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oita Trinita - Tokyo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Oita Trinita is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tokyo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tokyo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J1 League
17.04.21	Oita Trinita - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
11.04.21	Oita Trinita - Nagoya Grampus	0:3 ✺
07.04.21	Vissel Kobe - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Kawasaki Frontale - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
27.03.21	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW
- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
17.04.21	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale	2:4 ✺
07.04.21	Tokyo - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
28.03.21	Tokyo - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
14.03.21	Oita Trinita - Tokyo	1:1
16.09.20	Tokyo - Oita Trinita	2:3
05.09.20	Oita Trinita - Tokyo	0:1
02.11.19	Oita Trinita - Tokyo	0:2
01.06.19	Tokyo - Oita Trinita	3:1
03.08.13	Tokyo - Oita Trinita	2:0
02.03.13	Oita Trinita - Tokyo	1:2

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