The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo 22.7%
Draw 27.5%
Vissel Kobe 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
27.3%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
26.9%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
35.7%
21.4%
Tokyo - Vissel Kobe Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 17% โ 68.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Tokyo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
AH +0.5 - Tokyo (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Hatano G. (G) 32. Doi K. 47. Kimura S. 44. Henrique Trevisan 99. Shirai K. 37. Koizumi K. 18. Hashimoto K. 22. Endo K. 16. Sato K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 19. Marcelo Ryan
1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. 15. Honda Y. 23. Hirose R. 6. Ogihara T. 7. Ideguchi Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 27. Erik 13. Sasaki D. 14. Yuruki K.
Substitutes
7. Anzai S. 4. Kimoto Y. 53. Kitahara M. 5. Nagatomo Y. 39. Nakagawa T. 28. Nozawa L. 41. Nozawa T. (G) 30. Oka T. 27. Tokiwa K.
21. Arai S. (G) 77. Gustavo Klismahn 18. Ide H. 2. Iino N. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 10. Osako Y. 3. Thuler 30. Yamauchi K.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.
Yoshida T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
37', Sakai G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Yuruki K. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
70', Hirose R. ↓, Thuler ↑,
70', Erik ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
77', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
83', Koizumi K. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,
84', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
84', Shirai K. ↓, Nagatomo Y. ↑,
85', Sasaki D. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
90', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Kitahara M. ↑,
90+12', Honda Y. 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Vissel Kobe has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vissel Kobe is considered a favorite.
There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Muto Y.
(Injury)
Osako Y.
(Injury)
Thuler
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
China
Japan
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Hatano G. (G) 
Henrique Trevisan 
