Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Avispa Fukuoka		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.37	2.85	3.3
	2.35	2.82	3.36	Watch
	2.42	3.07	3.37
	2.39	2.89	3.5	Watch
	2.38	2.75	3.3
	2.34	2.96	3.47	Watch
	2.37	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.25)	2.89 ↓ (3.03)	3.39 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
39.7%

Draw
32.5%

Tokyo
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

31.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

32%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Murakami M. (G) 37. Tashiro M. 20. Ando T. 77. Shichi T. 29. Maejima Y. 88. Matsuoka D. 11. Miki T. 22. Fujimoto K. 8. Konno K. 25. Kitajima Y. 9. Zahedi S.	41. Nozawa T. (G) 32. Doi K. 3. Morishige M. 30. Oka T. 99. Shirai K. 18. Hashimoto K. 8. Ko T. 5. Nagatomo Y. 39. Nakagawa T. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 14. Yamashita K.
Substitutes
15. Akino H. 47. Hashimoto Y. 18. Iwasaki Y. 5. Kamijima T. 7. Kanamori T. 14. Nago S. 24. Obata Y. (G) 6. Shigemi M. 17. Wellington	7. Anzai S. 13. Hatano G. (G) 44. Henrique Trevisan 10. Higashi K. 47. Kimura S. 37. Koizumi K. 28. Nozawa L. 16. Sato K. 27. Tokiwa K.
Coaches
Kim Myong-hwi	Matsuhashi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+5', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Kitajima Y. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
56', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
60', Shirai K. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
60', Yamashita K. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
74', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
74', Ko T. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
74', Zahedi S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
86', Konno K. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
86', Maejima Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
88', Oka T. ↓, Henrique Trevisan ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Ando T. ⚽, Tashiro M. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Avispa Fukuoka will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tokyo: Endo K. (Inactive)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:12 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
09.03.25	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Gamba Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLL
- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
08.03.25	Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Yokohama FC - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.06.24	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
16.03.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo	1:3
Japan J League Cup
10.09.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo	2:0
06.09.23	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0
Japan J1 League
03.09.23	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
03.05.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo	1:0
02.07.22	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2

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