Match Info

Date: 30 June 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Manuel Ferreira (Asunción)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Olimpia Asuncion		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.1
	2.25	3.2	3.1
	2.35	3.05	3.1
	2.44	3.13	3.29
	2.3	3	3	Watch
	2.35	3.32	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.05)	3.11 ↓ (3.21)	3.13 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
40.1%

Draw
30%

Atlético Goianiense
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

32.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.7%	21.3%	17%

Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 29 - 61.7%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 8 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 21.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 47.8% – 75.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Olimpia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Atlético GO is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético GO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Olimpia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.06.22	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:1 ✺
22.06.22	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	6:1 ✺
14.06.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	1:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.22	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWW
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A
26.06.22	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.06.22	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.06.22	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	3:1 ✺
16.06.22	Palmeiras - Atlético Goianiense	4:2 ✺
11.06.22	Fluminense - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWLW

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