Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	19:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	08:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	19:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Colombia	17:00	ESPN 5
Indonesia	05:00	Mola TV
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
Russia	01:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Spain	00:00	beIN Sports
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	18:00	Inter
International	22:00	Disney+


	Olimpia Asuncion		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.27	3.15	3.55
	2.34	2.94	3.55	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.6
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.21)	3.05 ↓ (3.07)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
42.3%

Draw
30.9%

Peñarol de Montevideo
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

31.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Olimpia Asuncion - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Verza Martinez L. A. (G) 23. Espinola A. 22. Rojas R. 2. Lopez L. 36. Zabala F. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 11. Redes R. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 29. Leguizamon I. 10. Gonzalez D. 9. Benedetto D.	25. Campana M. (G) 20. Milans P. 34. Herrera N. 2. Leo Coelho 15. Olivera M. 6. Perez R. 32. Umpierrez L. 10. Fernandez L. 5. Sosa I. 28. Baez J. 11. Silvera M.
Substitutes
39. Abreu L. 15. Alfonzo A. 25. Arzamendia M. (G) 30. Benitez Sanchez H. 18. Dominguez J. 7. Fernandez H. 17. Gomez M. 32. Lopez E. 26. Maciel A. R. 21. Olmedo C. 16. Paredes A. 19. Pratto L.	80. David Terans 12. De Amores G. (G) 50. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 70. Gonzalez F. 27. Lucas Hernandez 77. Machado A. 18. Mayada C. 23. Mendez J. 29. Remedi E. 21. Silva G. 22. Suarez D. 8. Villalba H.
Coaches
Torres A.	Aguirre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Olivera M. 🟨,
23', Ortiz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Umpierrez L. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
51', Fernandez L. (Pen),
66', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
70', Redes R. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
70', Silvera M. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
70', Lopez L. ↓, Alfonzo A. ↑,
76', Perez R. 🟨,
78', Leguizamon I. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
78', Ortiz R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
90+1', Perez R. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
90+5', Gonzalez D. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Olimpia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peñarol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Olimpia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Olimpia: Olveira G. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Peñarol: Cabrera J. (Muscle Injury) Olase T. (Knee Injury) Silva G. (Muscle Injury) Suarez D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Peñarol: Avenatti F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Asuncion - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.86%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.04.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Atlético Tembetary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Vélez Sársfield	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.04.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTLL
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.04.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.04.25	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0
12.04.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1
Club Friendly
22.01.14	Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1

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