Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	Disney+
Brazil	23:00	Disney+
Canada	22:00	OneSoccer
Chile	23:00	Disney+
Colombia	21:00	Disney+
Mexico	20:00	Tubi TV
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	21:00	Disney+
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+


	Olimpia Tegucigalpa		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.81	2.65	2.91	Watch
	2.12	2.93	3.51	Watch
	2.71	2.71	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.81)	2.76 ↑ (2.65)	3.08 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
36.4%

Draw
33.5%

Alajuelense
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

35%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

35.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Alajuelense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (G) 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 3. Queiroz F. 5. Rivas E. 33. Chirinos M. 20. Maldonado A. 32. Mulet A. 7. Pinto J. 9. Benguche J. 27. Bengtson J. (C)	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 26. Pinar F. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G. 13. Gamboa A. 22. Matarrita R. 5. Borges C. (C) 35. Parkins R. 7. Hernandez A. 11. Campos D. 34. Perez C. 18. Cisneros R.
Substitutes
12. Arzu M. 64. Avila H. 40. Bennet C. 21. Figueroa J. 44. Lobo E. 34. Lopez K. 70. Moncada D. 14. Montiel M. 76. Paguada D. 22. Salazar A. (G) 31. Sanchez C. 30. Solano E.	29. Aguilar D. 99. Alvarez J. (G) 14. Bran Flores A. J. 38. Demetrius T. 33. Lucumi J. 1. Mora B. (G) 2. Paz D. 8. Quesada E. 90. Rodriguez D. 42. Ruiz J. 24. Salazar A. 25. van der Putten S.
Coaches
Espinel E.	Ramirez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Maldonado A. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Benguche J. ⚽, Bengtson J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Campos D. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
82', Cisneros R. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
82', Borges C. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
83', Chirinos M. ↓, Arzu M. ↑,
83', Mulet A. ↓, Montiel M. ↑,
88', Arzu M. 🟨,
90', Lucumi J. 🟨,
90+2', Rivas E. 🟨,
90+4', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Pinar F. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
97', Perez C. ↓, Bran Flores A. J. ↑,
102', Aguilar D. 🟨,
103', Rivas E. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
103', Bengtson J. ↓, Moncada D. ↑,
111', Hernandez A. ↓, van der Putten S. ↑,
114', Pinto J. 🟨,
117', Parkins R. ↓, Demetrius T. ↑,
Penalties (0 - 3)
1, Sanchez C. (Pen),
1, Gamboa A. (Pen),
2, Lopez K. (Pen),
2, Matarrita R. (Pen),
3, Benguche J. (Pen),
3, Villalobos Alfaro G. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.

Olimpia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alajuelense is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
26.10.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
23.10.25	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.10.25	Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWTW
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
26.10.25	Alajuelense - Pérez Zeledón	3:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
23.10.25	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
19.10.25	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Herediano - Alajuelense	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.09.25	Motagua - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
23.10.25	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1
CONCACAF League
02.11.22	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2
26.10.22	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Alajuelense	3:2
20.01.21	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 penalties
10.08.17	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1
03.08.17	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Alajuelense	2:0

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