Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Alajuelense		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.97	2.97	5.01
	2.27	2.75	3.66	Watch
	1.92	3.32	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.27)	3.01 ↑ (2.75)	4.24 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
46.2%

Draw
31.5%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

33.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

36.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alajuelense's performance.

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alajuelense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 26. Pinar F. 2. Paz D. 5. Borges C. 13. Gamboa A. 24. Salazar A. 14. Bran Flores A. J. 21. Michel K. 12. Campbell J. 33. Lucumi J. 18. Cisneros R.	1. Menjivar E. (C) 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 3. Queiroz F. 5. Rivas E. 33. Chirinos M. 23. Alvarez J. 32. Mulet A. 7. Pinto J. 19. Arboleda Y. 9. Benguche J.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 99. Alvarez J. (G) 11. Campos D. 38. Demetrius T. 43. Forstner C. 7. Hernandez A. 1. Mora B. (G) 34. Perez C. 8. Quesada E. 90. Rodriguez D. 42. Ruiz J. 25. van der Putten S.	12. Arzu M. 27. Bengtson J. 40. Bennet C. 4. Garcia J. 44. Lobo E. 34. Lopez K. 20. Maldonado A. 38. Mejia R. (G) 70. Moncada D. 14. Montiel M. 22. Salazar A. (G) 31. Sanchez C.
Coaches
Ramirez O.	Espinel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Campbell J. 🟨,
33', Pinar F. ↓, van der Putten S. ↑,
45+4', Arboleda Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Campbell J. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
60', Lucumi J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
60', Paz D. ↓, Campos D. ↑,
73', Arboleda Y. ↓, Bengtson J. ↑,
73', Mulet A. ↓, Montiel M. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Montiel M. ⚽, Benguche J. (A),
82', Pinto J. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
82', Chirinos M. ↓, Moncada D. ↑,
83', Borges C. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
85', Alvarez J. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽, Aguilar D. (A),
90+2', Benguche J. ↓, Lobo E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Alajuelense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Olimpia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alajuelense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
19.10.25	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Herediano - Alajuelense	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.09.25	Motagua - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
26.09.25	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
23.09.25	Alajuelense - Motagua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWTL
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.10.25	Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
02.10.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Cartagines	3:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.09.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Choloma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League
02.11.22	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2
26.10.22	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Alajuelense	3:2
20.01.21	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 penalties
10.08.17	Alajuelense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1
03.08.17	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Alajuelense	2:0

Upcoming Matches