Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Oliveirense		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	2.9	3.4	2.1
	3.2	3.25	2.08
	3.36	3.65	2.16
	3	3.3	2.1
	3.25	3.34	2.14
	2.95	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	3.42 ↑ (3.23)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
29.7%

Draw
27%

Estrela da Amadora
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

28.9%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	44.4%	55.6%

Oliveirense - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estrela in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Estrela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
22.04.23	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	1:4 ✺
14.04.23	Oliveirense - Farense	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Nacional - Oliveirense	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Oliveirense - Tondela	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Benfica B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWTL
- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
23.04.23	Estrela da Amadora - BSAD	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
07.04.23	Estrela da Amadora - Mafra	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Estrela da Amadora - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
12.11.22	Estrela da Amadora - Oliveirense	1:0

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