Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	08:15	Disney+, ESPN 2
Brazil	08:15	Disney+
Bulgaria	13:15	Ring, Voyo
Canada	07:15	Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Chile	08:15	Disney+
Colombia	06:15	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	12:15	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	13:15	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
France	12:15	DAZN France
Georgia	15:15	Silk Sport 3
Germany	12:15	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	13:15	Nova Sports 2
Israel	13:15	Sport 4
Italy	12:15	Como TV
Japan	20:15	U-NEXT
Kenya	14:15	Gotv
Kosovo	12:15	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	05:15	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	12:15	Canal+, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	12:15	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Peru	06:15	Disney+
Poland	12:15	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	11:15	DAZN 2
Romania	13:15	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	14:15	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	12:15	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	12:15	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
South Africa	13:15	SupeSport ESPN
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	12:15	Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	12:15	Sunrise TV
Turkey	14:15	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
United Arab Emirates	15:15	Dubai Sports 2
United Kingdom	11:15	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	08:15	Disney+
Usa	07:15	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	07:15	Disney+, Inter
International	11:15	Triller TV+


	Twente		Ajax

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	3	Watch
	2.38	3.55	2.85
	2.31	3.75	3.01
	2.58	3.72	2.49	Watch
	2.3	3.73	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (3)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	2.86 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
40.2%

Draw
26.3%

Ajax
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

25.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Twente - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ajax (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Ajax (1.55) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Twente (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Ajax (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Twente will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ajax (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Propper R. (C) 43. Nijstad R. 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 7. Pjaca M. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. van Wolfswinkel R.	22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rosa L. 4. Itakura K. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 16. McConnell J. 8. Taylor K. (C) 7. Moro R. 10. Gloukh O. 11. Godts M. 25. Weghorst W.
Substitutes
8. Booth T. 21. Karssies S. (G) 5. Kuipers B. 10. Lammers S. 23. Lemkin S. 12. Peixoto G. 11. Rots D. 22. Tyton P. (G) 37. Unuvar N. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A.	41. Alders G. 43. Bounida R. 30. Bouwman A. 17. Edvardsen O. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 3. Gaaei A. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 1. Jaros V. (G) 18. Klaassen D. 24. Mokio J. 6. Regeer Y. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Heitinga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Hlynsson K. ⚽, Nijstad R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', McConnell J. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
46', Itakura K. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Weghorst W. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
51', 1 - 2, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
56', 1 - 3, Godts M. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
60', Rots M. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
60', Pjaca M. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
73', Moro R. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
77', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
81', Nijstad R. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
81', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
89', Gloukh O. 🟨,
90', Godts M. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
90+1', Taylor K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.

Twente is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ajax has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Twente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Twente: Bruns M. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Rots M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Twente - Heracles Almelo	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 ✺
19.09.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	Twente - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWWT
- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Chelsea - Ajax	5:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Olympique Marseille - Ajax	4:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.25	Ajax - NAC Breda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
18.05.25	Ajax - Twente	2:0
10.11.24	Twente - Ajax	2:2
14.04.24	Ajax - Twente	2:1
17.09.23	Twente - Ajax	3:1
28.05.23	Twente - Ajax	3:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
09.02.23	Twente - Ajax	0:1
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.23	Ajax - Twente	0:0

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