Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 7, New World Sport App
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7, Canal+ Live 9
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, Sporza, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Twente		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4
	2.25	3.25	3.25
	2.3	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.27	3.32	3.43
	2.23	3.33	3.33
	2.25	3.25	3.3
	2.31	3.44	3.44
	2.3	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
42.2%

Draw
29.1%

Saint-Gilloise
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	26.7%	6.7%

Twente - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Union SG will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 8. Regeer Y. 2. Hilgers M. 38. Bruns M. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 41. Besselink G. 18. Vlap M. 11. Rots D. 14. Steijn S. 7. van Bergen M. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C)	49. Moris A. (C) 25. Khalaili A. 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 26. Sykes R. 22. Niang O. 77. Fuseini M. 27. Sadiki N. 24. Vanhoutte C. 23. Boufal S. 9. Ivanovic F.
Substitutes
6. Eiting C. 16. El Maach I. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 5. Kuipers B. 29. Kuster H. 3. Lagerbielke G. 10. Lammers S. 30. Ltaief S. 23. Sadilek M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A.	10. Ait El Hadj A. 33. Berradi S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 48. Leysen F. 28. Machida K. 4. Rasmussen M. 13. Rodriguez K. 6. Van De Perre K.
Coaches
Oosting J.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Fuseini M. ⚽, Niang O. (A),
24', Sykes R. 🟨,
35', Rots D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Besselink G. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
46', Rots D. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
46', Bruns M. ↓, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↑,
63', Boufal S. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
74', Steijn S. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
74', Ivanovic F. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
81', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
87', Hilgers M. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
87', Fuseini M. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
87', Niang O. ↓, Machida K. ↑,
88', Regeer Y. 🟨,
90', Sadiki N. 🟨,
90+3', Khalaili A. 🟨,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Twente will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Twente: Taha Y. (Shin Injury) van Rooij B. (Red Card)

There will not play in Union SG: Teklab H. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Union SG: Castro-Montes A. (Muscle Injury) Francois G. (Knock) Traore M. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.24	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Twente - Ajax	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Nice - Twente	2:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.24	Willem II - Twente	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Twente - Heracles Almelo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTWW
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.11.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Saint-Gilloise - Roma	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.11.24	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	Eupen - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTTW

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