What is the expert prediction for Olympique Marseille vs Atalanta?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Olympique Marseille vs Atalanta. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Olympique Marseille vs Atalanta live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Olympique Marseille vs Atalanta Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, November 05, 2025)

Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
Albania	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	HBO Max
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport 4
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 3
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
South-america	ESPN 6 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii Spor 5, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Olympique Marseille		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.75
	2.5	3.55	2.82
	2.52	3.55	2.87
	2.04	3.80	3.35	Watch
	2.55	3.56	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.04)	3.59 ↓ (3.8)	2.94 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
40.1%

Draw
27%

Atalanta
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympique Marseille's form might have worsened.

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.3%	18.8%	5.9%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 63 - 75.9%). Atalanta will win (votes: 4 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 19.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 66.7% – 85.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Atalanta (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Marseille (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Marseille (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 35 - 87.5%). Atalanta (votes: 1 - 2.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 62. Murillo M. 21. Aguerd N. 28. Pavard B. 4. Egan-Riley C. 6. Garcia U. 10. Greenwood M. 17. O'Riley M. 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) 14. Paixao I. 97. Aubameyang P.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 3. Kossounou O. 19. Djimsiti B. 69. Ahanor H. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 77. Zappacosta D. 17. De Ketelaere C. 90. Krstovic N. 11. Lookman A.
Substitutes
50. Bakola D. 68. Clement M. 12. De Lange J. (G) 8. Gomes A. 78. Lago E. 76. Mmadi T. 77. Ouro Bang Na R. 40. Van Neck J. (G) 34. Vaz R. 18. Vermeeren A.	47. Bernasconi L. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 70. Maldini D. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 9. Scamacca G. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', De Ketelaere C. (Pen),
26', Ederson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Roon M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
50', Kossounou O. 🟨,
55', Kossounou O. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
67', O'Riley M. 🟨,
72', Paixao I. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
75', Lookman A. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
79', O'Riley M. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
84', Krstovic N. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
84', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
87', Juric I. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Samardzic L. ⚽,
90+2', De Zerbi R. 🟨,
90+5', Garcia U. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atalanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Hip Injury) Balerdi L. (Muscle Injury) Blanco R. (Inactive) Emerson (Red Card) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Lirola P. (Inactive) Maupay N. (Inactive) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Nadir B. (Head Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury) Vermot T. (Inactive) Weah T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Brescianini M. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Marseille won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

banner

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Olympique Marseille - Angers	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Lens - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLW
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
01.11.25	Udinese - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Atalanta - Milan	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Cremonese - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Atalanta - Slavia Prague	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
09.05.24	Atalanta - Olympique Marseille	3:0
02.05.24	Olympique Marseille - Atalanta	1:1

Olympique Marseille - Atalanta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide