Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Brest		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.6	4
	1.9	3.7	3.95
	1.95	3.64	4.15
	2.16	3.36	3.31	Watch
	1.92	3.88	4.24	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.88)	3.65 ↓ (3.67)	3.93 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
49.3%

Draw
26.3%

Nantes
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.4%	20.5%	5.1%

Brest - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Nantes will win (votes: 2 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 60.7% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Brest (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Nantes (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brest will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majecki R. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 23. Doumbia K. 99. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.	1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 80. Mwanga J. 66. Leroux L. 17. Tabibou D. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 15. Lahdo M. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 10. Abline M.
Substitutes
30. Coudert G. (G) 29. Diop S. 27. Guindo D. 32. Kante I. Y. 26. Le Cardinal J. 36. Le Guen R. 33. Makalou H.	90. Benhattab Y. 14. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 3. Cozza N. 24. Deuff B. 19. El Arabi Y. 11. Guirassy B. 26. Radakovic U. 35. Ziani S.
Coaches
Roy E.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Awaziem C. 🟨,
17', Mboup P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Castro L. 🟨,
63', Lahdo M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
67', Ajorque L. 🟨,
78', Mboup P. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
78', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
85', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
85', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
87', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Cozza N. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Brest is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Thigh Injury) Bourgault J. (International duty) Labeau Lascary R. (Elbow Injury) Tousart L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Injury) Lepenant J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Del Castillo R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brest won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nantes - the odds 4.09 are the expected chance of winning is 23.34%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Angers - Brest	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Brest - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Lens - Brest	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Toulouse - Brest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
27.09.25	Toulouse - Nantes	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Nantes - Rennes	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Strasbourg - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
07.02.25	Nantes - Brest	0:2
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Brest - Nantes	2:1
French Ligue 1
15.12.24	Brest - Nantes	4:1
04.05.24	Brest - Nantes	0:0
17.12.23	Nantes - Brest	0:2
03.05.23	Brest - Nantes	2:0
16.10.22	Nantes - Brest	4:1

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