Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Australia	Stan Sport
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Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Olympique Marseille		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.35
	3.1	3.4	2.3
	3.15	3.55	2.38
	3.05	3.45	2.32
	3.18	3.51	2.36
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	3.13	3.5	2.33
	3.1	3.45	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.4)	3.46 ↑ (3.27)	2.33 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
31%

Draw
27.8%

Tottenham Hotspur
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

29.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.3%	21.1%	48.7%

Olympique Marseille - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 23 - 30.3%). Tottenham will win (votes: 37 - 48.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 37.5% – 59.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Marseille has currently - 6, has a small chance of 1st (10%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a small chance of 3rd (8%), has a chance of round of 16 (37%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tottenham has currently - 8, has a chance of 1st (44%), has a chance of 2nd (19%), has a chance of 3rd (37%), has a good chance of round of 16 (63%), has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has big quality 77, very big importance 100, big match rating 89. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Marseille is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tottenham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marseille have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Marseille: Ruiz P. (Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Kulusevski D. (Thigh Injury) Richarlison (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Marseille: Bailly E. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
29.10.22	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.10.22	Olympique Marseille - Lens	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.10.22	Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
29.10.22	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.10.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
23.10.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Olympique Marseille	2:0

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