Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 26

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)


	Omiya Ardija		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	2.7	2.87	2.45
	2.8	2.8	2.8
	3.08	2.86	2.63
	2.8	2.88	2.4
	2.91	3.14	2.53	Watch
	2.9	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.54)	2.94 ↓ (3.05)	2.55 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
32.1%

Draw
31.6%

Tochigi
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

30.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	46.7%	20%

Omiya Ardija - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tochigi will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 34. Omori R. 17. Shinzato R. 43. Ichihara R. 3. Okaniwa S. 32. Takayanagi F. 8. Kurimoto H. 22. Motegi R. 48. Shibayama M. 19. Rodrigo 28. Tomiyama T.	41. Fujita K. (G) 15. Okazaki R. 16. Hiramatsu W. 5. Otani N. 3. Kurosaki H. 4. Sato S. 30. Fukumori K. 7. Nishiya Y. 36. Yamada Y. 38. Kobori S. 37. Nemoto R.
Substitutes
31. Abe R. 39. Izumisawa J. 35. Minami Y. (G) 6. Ohashi H. 38. Suzuki S. 5. Urakami N. 23. Yajima K.	23. Fukushima H. 31. Ishida R. 24. Kanbe K. 1. Kawata S. (G) 19. Oshima K. 45. Yasuda K. 21. Yoshida T.
Coaches
Harasaki M.	Tokisaki Y.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Omiya won 2.

Omiya is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tochigi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Omiya won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija	2:0 ✺
05.07.23	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Machida Zelvia - Omiya Ardija	3:2 ✺
24.06.23	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Tochigi SC
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tochigi	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
05.07.23	Iwaki - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.03.23	Tochigi - Omiya Ardija	2:1
18.09.22	Omiya Ardija - Tochigi	3:1
13.03.22	Tochigi - Omiya Ardija	1:1
03.10.21	Tochigi - Omiya Ardija	1:3
13.06.21	Omiya Ardija - Tochigi	1:1
10.10.20	Omiya Ardija - Tochigi	0:0
15.07.20	Tochigi - Omiya Ardija	1:0

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