Match Info

Cyprus Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Omonia TV


	Omonia		AEL Limassol

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.55	3.9	4.65
	1.62	4.08	5.3
	1.57	4.2	5.11
	1.57	3.6	4.75
	1.64	3.86	4.96	Watch
	1.55	4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.31)	3.91 ↓ (4.33)	4.98 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia
58.1%

Draw
23.5%

AEL Limassol
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

20.6%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

19.7%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omonia's form might have worsened.

AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEL Limassol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEL Limassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Omonia - AEL Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). AEL will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omonia: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Omonia (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Omonia (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Omonia will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Omonia (votes: 12 - 85.7%). AEL (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Uzoho F. (G) 20. Andreou E. 10. Chatzigiovanis A. 5. Coulibaly S. 2. Dionkou A. 8. Jovetic S. 31. Kousoulos I. 14. Maric M. 21. Masouras G. 85. Neofytou A. 30. Panagiotou N.	13. Ochoa G. (G) 21. Bogdan L. 26. Glavcic N. 24. Imanishimwe E. 23. Leo Natel 19. Milosavljevic I. 27. Sawo Z. 35. Sergio Conceicao 11. Singh L. 15. Stevanovic D. 6. Zdravkovski D.
Substitutes
74. Andreou P. 29. Balkovec J. . Christou A. 6. Eiting C. 44. Erakovic N. 11. Ewandro 40. Fabiano Freitas (G) 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 19. Mmaee R. 7. Semedo W. 27. Simic S. 22. Tankovic M.	14. Christofi S. 45. Forestieri F. 10. Jradi B. Z. 99. Keravnos A. (G) 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 33. Makris A. 40. Maseko T. 63. Mughe F. R. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 8. Papafotis V. 29. Paroutis D. 37. Szoke J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Maric M. 🟨,
36', Imanishimwe E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Andreou E. ↓, Ewandro ↑,
46', Maric M. ↓, Andreou P. ↑,
49', Zdravkovski D. 🟨,
66', Chatzigiovanis A. ↓, Semedo W. ↑,
67', Neofytou A. ↓, Mmaee R. ↑,
69', Glavcic N. 🟨,
73', Bogdan L. 🟨,
74', Ewandro 🟨,
75', Zdravkovski D. ↓, Szoke J. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Leo Natel ⚽,
79', Kousoulos I. ↓, Eiting C. ↑,
81', Singh L. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
87', Leo Natel ↓, Makris A. ↑,
90+2', Masouras G. 🟨,
90+6', Szoke J. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Mmaee R. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
115', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omonia won 5.

Omonia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

AEL's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Omonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Omonia is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Omonia will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Omonia won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:10. (average 1.9:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Omonia won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
01.02.26	Omonia - Krasava Ypsonas	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Aris Limassol - Omonia	3:5 ✺
18.01.26	Omonia - Anorthosis	2:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
14.01.26	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
09.01.26	AEL Limassol - Omonia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW
- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
01.02.26	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Anorthosis - AEL Limassol	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
21.01.26	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
17.01.26	Akritas Chlorakas - AEL Limassol	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	AEL Limassol - Omonia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
09.01.26	AEL Limassol - Omonia	0:2
22.09.25	Omonia - AEL Limassol	5:0
Cypriot Cup
28.01.25	Omonia - AEL Limassol	3:0
Cypriot First Division
12.01.25	AEL Limassol - Omonia	0:4
27.09.24	Omonia - AEL Limassol	3:1
02.01.24	Omonia - AEL Limassol	3:1
16.09.23	AEL Limassol - Omonia	0:0

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