Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nacional de Lima (Lima)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Universal
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Sporting Cristal		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.95
	2.78	2.98	2.68
	2.84	3.05	2.76
	2.41	3.00	3.18	Watch
	2.7	2.88	2.7
	2.84	3.07	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.41)	3.05 ↓ (3.23)	2.82 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
35.4%

Draw
31%

Junior Barranquilla
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Sporting Cristal - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Junior will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Cristal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 55. Cazonatti G. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 16. Iberico L. 23. Castro M. 11. Avila I.	1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 98. Pena J. 33. Monzon L. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 21. Canchimbo J. 22. Rivas J. 18. Perez K. 29. Gutierrez T. (C)
Substitutes
33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 21. Cabellos C. 41. Cuenca J. 32. Diaz L. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 97. Rodriguez M. 25. Tavara M. 9. Vizeu F. 26. Wisdom I.	70. Bacca C. 77. Barrios C. 88. Castrillon B. 8. Chara Y. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 10. Muriel L. 9. Paiva G. 24. Pestana J. 5. Rivera D. 7. Rivera H. 20. Sarmiento J.
Coaches
Bulos I.	Arias A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Cazonatti G. 🟨,
21', Pena J. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cazonatti G. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
49', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Iberico L. (A),
57', Perez K. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
57', Rivas J. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
58', Gutierrez T. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
63', Iberico L. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
63', Avila I. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
69', Canchimbo J. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
74', Castro M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
85', Rios J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
87', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Cabellos C. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
90+4', Paiva G. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel (Knee Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Knee Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Junior Barranquilla - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.26%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
25.04.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
24.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLWT

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