Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)


	Operário Ferroviario		Bahia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.3
	3.15	2.85	2.32
	2.95	2.9	2.46
	3.22	2.99	2.58
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.04	3.13	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.2)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	2.4 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
29.9%

Draw
31.3%

Bahia
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário Ferroviario's form might have worsened.

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	24.1%	62.1%

Operário Ferroviario - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Bahia will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
06.06.22	Guarani - Operário Ferroviario	0:3 ✺
03.06.22	Operário Ferroviario - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
25.05.22	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
21.05.22	Operário Ferroviario - Ituano	3:2 ✺
14.05.22	CS Alagoano - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLLWT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
08.06.22	Bahia - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Bahia - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
27.05.22	Tombense - Bahia	1:0 ✺
20.05.22	Bahia - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
15.05.22	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

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