Match Info

Date: 27 May 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Soares de Azevedo (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Traci R. (Bra)


	Tombense		Bahia

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.9	2.1
	3.7	2.8	2.12
	3.7	2.95	2.08
	4.24	2.89	2.21
	3.8	2.75	2.2
	3.88	2.96	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.4)	2.88 (2.88)	2.15 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
24.3%

Draw
32.4%

Bahia
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

32.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

32%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Tombense - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Bahia will win (votes: 15 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Tombense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bahia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bahia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
20.05.22	Brusque - Tombense	1:0 ✺
14.05.22	Tombense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.05.22	Ceará - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.05.22	Sport Recife - Tombense	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Tombense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
20.05.22	Bahia - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
15.05.22	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	Azuriz - Bahia	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.22	Bahia - Londrina	4:0 ✺
29.04.22	Ituano - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

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