Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Ozon Arena (Krasnodar)

Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3


	Krasnodar		Orenburg

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.47	10.39
	1.3	6.36	10.9	Watch
	1.29	5.2	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 (1.29)	6.01 ↑ (5.2)	9.86 ↑ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
74.4%

Draw
15.9%

Orenburg
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

17.7%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Krasnodar - Orenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 3. Tormena 4. Diego Costa 15. Olaza L. 66. Douglas Augusto 6. Lenini K. 11. Joao Batxi 10. Spertsyan E. (C) 88. Krivtsov N. 9. Cordoba J.	1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 2. Poroykov S. 6. Palacios J. 4. Khotulev D. (C) 3. Vedernikov D. 57. Bolotov E. 37. Du Queiroz 16. Thompson J. 27. Golybin R. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 30. Guzina G.
Substitutes
23. Boselli J. 27. Burkin E. 53. Chernikov A. 90. Cobnan M. D. 29. Guseynov E. 5. Jubal Junior 34. Karpenko A. (G) 16. Koryakin A. (G) 17. Paltsev V. 98. Petrov S. 30. Sadchikov S.	19. Alexandre Jesus 48. Antsiperov E. 32. Cantero A. 29. El Mahraoui A. 22. Gorelov P. 65. Ivashchenko I. 78. Kul R. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 8. Puebla D. 88. Rudakov M. (G) 9. Savelyev M. 26. Tsenov E.
Coaches
Musaev M.	Akhmetzyanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Khotulev D. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Lenini K. ⚽, Gonzalez G. (A),
40', Cordoba J. 🟨,
40', Thompson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Gorelov P. ↑,
58', Golybin R. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Joao Batxi (A),
64', Douglas Augusto ↓, Chernikov A. ↑,
69', Guzina G. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
69', Du Queiroz ↓, Kul R. ↑,
74', Palacios J. 🟨,
77', Krivtsov N. ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
84', Bolotov E. ↓, Kvekveskiri I. ↑,
84', Gonzalez G. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
84', Diego Costa ↓, Jubal Junior ↑,
84', Joao Batxi ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Spertsyan E. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 5.

Krasnodar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Orenburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Krasnodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Krasnodar is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Krasnodar: Koksharov A. (Injury) Stezhko V. (Knee Injury) Victor Sa (Inactive)

There will not play in Orenburg: Moufi F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Orenburg: Palacios J. (Injury) Puebla D. (Injury)

We predict that Krasnodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.4:1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Krasnodar: 14.68% Orenburg: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	16:10	6	21
6	Orenburg	10	2	6	2	11:10	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
11.05.26	Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
07.05.26	Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
03.05.26	Akron Tolyatti - Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- FC Orenburg
Russian Premier League
10.05.26	Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sochi - Orenburg	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Rostov - Orenburg	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
26.11.25	Krasnodar - Orenburg	4:0
05.11.25	Orenburg - Krasnodar	1:3
Russian Premier League
10.08.25	Orenburg - Krasnodar	0:1
17.05.25	Orenburg - Krasnodar	1:2
03.11.24	Krasnodar - Orenburg	4:0
03.12.23	Krasnodar - Orenburg	2:1
12.08.23	Orenburg - Krasnodar	0:2

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