Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Oriental de La Paz		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.90	3.10
	2.18	3.00	3.10
	2.41	3.15	3.32
	2.33	2.9	3.38	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.25
	2.20	3.02	3.17
	2.19	2.85	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.16)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
40.6%

Draw
31%

Colón Montevideo
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Vidart E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Oriental is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oriental	21	8	8	5	29:22	7	32
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTWL
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.06.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
23.05.26	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.03.26	Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo	0:0
04.10.25	Colón Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:0
13.07.25	Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo	1:0
22.03.25	Colón Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:1
30.09.24	Colón Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:1
16.06.24	Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo	0:4

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