Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ourense CF		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.95	2.95	3.6
	2	3	4
	1.99	3.19	4.01
	1.94	3.13	3.97
	1.97	3.18	3.9
	2	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.01)	3.06 ↑ (3)	3.91 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
46.6%

Draw
29.9%

Gimnástica Segoviana
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ourense CF - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 2. Andrada F. 5. Prado M. 19. Rodriguez M. 3. Sanz H. 11. Gil A. 8. Ramos J. 23. Fullana F. 6. Fidalgo A. 21. Raigal J. 9. Di Renzo G.	1. Carmona P. (G) 26. Marcos H. 3. Molina S. 5. Pascual A. 18. Gabriel Palmero 7. Berlanga M. 22. De La Mata J. 8. Diaz H. 6. Olmedilla M. 20. Tellechea I. 19. Davo
Substitutes
7. Carbonell J. 4. Carmona F. 14. del Olmo I. 10. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 22. Noriega J. 17. Prada R. 20. Sanchez A. 15. Zalaya A.	11. Astray P. 10. Borrego J. 25. Changyi L. (G) 17. Chupo 23. Ferreiroa F. 21. Juan Silva 4. Lopez D. 44. Oliva H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Marcos H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Molina S. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
51', 🟨,
56', Fullana F. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
57', 🟨,
60', Tellechea I. ↓, Borrego J. ↑,
60', Diaz H. ↓, Juan Silva ↑,
65', Raigal J. ↓, Carmona F. ↑,
65', Prado M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
65', Gil A. ↓,
70', Gabriel Palmero ↓, Chupo ↑,
73', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
75', Sanz H. ↓, Prada R. ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Ourense CF is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnástica Segoviana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ourense CF will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.09.24	Barcelona B - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
01.09.24	Ourense CF - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Ourense CF - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLTTW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.09.24	Barakaldo - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Amorebieta - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWLL

Upcoming Matches