Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 32

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Oxford City		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.4
	1.61	3.7	4.5
	1.68	3.84	4.68
	1.8	3.5	3.8
	1.65	3.88	4.75
	1.66	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	4.42 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
54.6%

Draw
24.8%

Welling United
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Oxford City - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 3.

Oxford City in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Welling is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oxford City is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Oxford City to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
04.02.23	Hungerford Town - Oxford City	1:3 ✺
28.01.23	Oxford City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
21.01.23	Concord Rangers - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Oxford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWTW
- Welling United
English National League South
07.02.23	Cheshunt - Welling United	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Welling United - Dartford	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Chelmsford City - Welling United	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:4 ✺
07.01.23	Worthing - Welling United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.09.22	Welling United - Oxford City	5:0
22.01.22	Welling United - Oxford City	0:1
02.10.21	Oxford City - Welling United	3:0
09.01.21	Oxford City - Welling United	0:0
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Welling United - Oxford City	0:2
English National League South
17.08.19	Welling United - Oxford City	3:1
12.02.19	Oxford City - Welling United	0:1

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