Match Info

Date: 24 August 2021, Tuesday


	PSV Eindhoven		Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	1.91	3.6	3.7
	1.95	3.7	3.85
	1.99	3.5	3.4
	2.04	3.67	3.76
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.99	3.76	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.97)	3.58 ↑ (3.56)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
47.7%

Draw
26.2%

Benfica
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

20.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for PSV Eindhoven have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	11.5%	7.4%

PSV Eindhoven - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (120 of 148 users predict this - 81.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.77% – 87.39%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

PSV is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Benfica is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently PSV have a series of guest games.

PSV will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches PSV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
21.08.21	PSV Eindhoven - Cambuur	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.21	Benfica - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.08.21	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.08.21	Midtjylland - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
07.08.21	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
21.08.21	Gil Vicente - Benfica	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.21	Benfica - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
14.08.21	Benfica - Arouca	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.08.21	Benfica - Spartak Moscow	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.08.21	Moreirense - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
18.08.21	Benfica - PSV Eindhoven	2:1
Club Friendly
22.07.12	PSV Eindhoven - Benfica	N/A

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