Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event


	PSV Eindhoven		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.02	5.99
	1.37	4.5	6.73	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)	4.49 ↑ (3.89)	5.67 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
62.9%

Draw
20.7%

Hamburger SV
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

23.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

23.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSV Eindhoven's performance.

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamburger SV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSV Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamburger SV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez W. (G) 3. Teze J. 5. Ramalho A. 18. Boscagli O. 8. Dest S. 22. Schouten J. 23. Veerman J. 20. Til G. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 10. Tillman M.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 22. Van der Brempt I. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 13. Ramos G. 28. Muheim M. 10. Pherai I. 23. Meffert J. (C) 8. Benes L. 18. Jatta B. 9. Glatzel R. 27. Dompe J.
Substitutes
25. Bars E. 15. Dams M. 33. Jimenez M. 61. Schiks N. (G) 24. Waterman B. (G)	46. Krahn E. 41. Megeed O. 47. Oliveira N. 19. Raab M. (G) 45. Sanne T. 49. Stange O. 36. Suhonen A. 48. Yalcinkaya B. 37. Zumberi V.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Walter T.

Preview

Neutral location.

PSV in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hamburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match PSV is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's PSV to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Club Friendly
07.01.24	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.12.23	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.12.23	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
07.12.23	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Feyenoord - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTWW
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	4:3 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.12.23	St. Pauli - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
24.11.23	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLTW

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