Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Paderborn		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	5	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.25
	1.72	4	5.28
	1.75	3.62	4.61	Watch
	1.74	3.8	4.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	3.76 ↑ (3.73)	4.7 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
54.8%

Draw
25.1%

Arminia Bielefeld
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Paderborn (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 20. Gotze F. (C) 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 26. Klaas S. 27. Tigges S.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 29. Handwerker T. 10. Mehlem M. 8. Schreck S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 14. Momuluh T. 11. Grodowski J. 38. Worl M.
Substitutes
9. Batzner N. 6. Engelns L. 30. Marino S. 11. Michel S. 2. Muller R. 25. Scheller T. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 18. Worner M.	27. Boakye B. 2. Hagmann F. 7. Kania J. 20. Micheler F. 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 17. Sicker A. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', Hansen M. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Grodowski J. (Pen),
26', 1 - 1, Baur M. ⚽, Bilbija F. (A),
29', 1 - 2, Momuluh T. ⚽, Grodowski J. (A),
31', Obermair R. 🟨,
34', Momuluh T. 🟨,
34', Klaas S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Klaas S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Tigges S. ⚽,
55', 3 - 2, Bilbija F. (Pen),
62', 4 - 2, Tigges S. ⚽, Baur M. (A),
66', Momuluh T. ↓, Young I. ↑,
66', Grodowski J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
66', Lannert C. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
68', Sarenren Bazee N. 🟨,
69', Batzner N. 🟨,
72', Gotze F. 🟨,
73', 4 - 3, Handwerker T. (Pen),
79', Handwerker T. 🟨,
82', Baur M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
82', Bilbija F. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
83', Mehlem M. ↓, Micheler F. ↑,
89', Worl M. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
90+1', Brackelmann C. ↓, Scheller T. ↑,
90+4', Tigges S. ↓, Michel S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 0.

Paderborn is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arminia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arminia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paderborn is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Handwerker T. (Muscle Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Russo S. (Knee Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. (Muscle Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Grodowski J. (Knock) Mehlem M. (Injury)

We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
03.10.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Paderborn - Kaiserslautern	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Paderborn - Bochum	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Nürnberg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWT
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:2
08.11.22	Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2
03.05.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:0
30.11.18	Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2
21.02.16	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	1:1
29.08.15	Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2
Club Friendly
10.07.14	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:0

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