Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Parnu Rannastaadion (Parnu)

Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Paide LM		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5	Watch
	1.47	4.2	5.75
	1.5	4.3	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.25	5.81
	1.52	4.39	5.51	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.5	4.35	5.95	Watch
	1.5	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	4.32 ↓ (4.36)	5.64 ↓ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide LM
62%

Draw
21.5%

Bala Town
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bala Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	18.7%	37.5%

Paide LM - Bala Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Paide will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Bala Town will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paide: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jarju E. (G) 2. Lilander M. 5. Juhkam G. 29. Saliste J. 6. Kristal P. 23. Delevic M. 16. Medic P. 8. Ojamaa H. (C) 14. Saarma R. 20. Ceesay A. 19. Luts S.	1. Torrance J. (G) 23. White R. 24. Harrison K. 4. Peate N. (C) 2. Downes A. 12. Abadaki O. 6. Edwards A. 27. Smith K. 7. Mendes L. 9. Newell G. 18. Robles L.
Substitutes
80. Agyepong T. 1. Aksalu M. (G) 27. Baranov N. 10. Frolov A. 28. Hoim O. 17. Jepihhin D. 41. Luts D. 15. Ojamaa H. 9. Piht K. 7. Riiberg H. 56. Sapp M. (G) 24. Suso M.	28. Arsan N. 15. Clark D. (G) 3. Kargbo U. 10. Malkin J. 14. Petro K. 11. Ukek J.
Coaches
Stojkovic I.	Caton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Peate N. ⚽, Mendes L. (A),
40', Kristal P. 🟨,
45', Saliste J. 🟨,
45+2', Torrance J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ceesay A. ↓, Agyepong T. ↑,
74', Saarma R. ↓, Jepihhin D. ↑,
80', Mendes L. ↓, Ukek J. ↑,
84', Luts S. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
84', Medic P. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
87', Robles L. ↓, Arsan N. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
105', Peate N. 🟨,
106', Newell G. ↓, Malkin J. ↑,
108', Peate N. 🟨,
118', Delevic M. 🟨,
120', Arsan N. 🟨,
120', 1 - 1, Hoim O. ⚽, Kristal P. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Parnu Rannastaadion. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Paide is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Paide is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paide won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide LM
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Bala Town - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.24	Paide LM - Narva Trans	2:2 ✺
28.06.24	Kuressaare - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWLW
- Bala Town
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Bala Town - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.24	Colwyn Bay - Bala Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.04.24	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
09.04.24	The New Saints - Bala Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Bala Town - Paide LM	1:2

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