Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry) 🌤️ ...

Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	21:00	Soccernet TV
United Kingdom	19:00	Solidsport TV


	Bala Town		Paide LM

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.5	2.04
	3.62	3.43	2.01	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.63	3.48	1.99	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4.51)	3.38 ↓ (3.75)	2.02 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Town
26.6%

Draw
27.5%

Paide LM
45.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.7%

24.9%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bala Town's performance.

Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide LM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	8.3%	66.7%

Bala Town - Paide LM Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bala Town will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Paide will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paide: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torrance J. (G) 2. Downes A. 23. White R. 24. Harrison K. 28. Arsan N. 6. Edwards A. 4. Peate N. (C) 18. Robles L. 9. Newell G. 27. Smith K. 7. Mendes L.	99. Jarju E. (G) 2. Lilander M. 23. Delevic M. 5. Juhkam G. 29. Saliste J. 6. Kristal P. 16. Medic P. 19. Luts S. 14. Saarma R. 8. Ojamaa H. (C) 17. Jepihhin D.
Substitutes
12. Abadaki O. 17. Badjana S. 8. Burke N. 15. Clark D. (G) 16. Hughes T. 3. Kargbo U. 10. Malkin J. 14. Petro K. 11. Ukek J.	80. Agyepong T. 1. Aksalu M. (G) 27. Baranov N. 20. Ceesay A. 10. Frolov A. 28. Hoim O. 41. Luts D. 15. Ojamaa H. 9. Piht K. 7. Riiberg H. 56. Sapp M. (G) 24. Suso M.
Coaches
Caton C.	Stojkovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Delevic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Arsan N. 🟨,
55', Robles L. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
57', Jepihhin D. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Ceesay A. ⚽,
82', Saarma R. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
82', Newell G. ↓, Ukek J. ↑,
82', Arsan N. ↓, Kargbo U. ↑,
82', Luts S. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
86', Hoim O. 🟨,
90', Edwards A. ↓, Malkin J. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Medic P. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Ukek J. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Park Hall.

Recent matches Paide is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bala Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paide will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bala Town
Club Friendly
05.07.24	Colwyn Bay - Bala Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.04.24	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
09.04.24	The New Saints - Bala Town	4:1 ✺
05.04.24	Bala Town - Newtown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTLT
- Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.24	Paide LM - Narva Trans	2:2 ✺
28.06.24	Kuressaare - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	2:5 ✺
01.06.24	Flora Tallinn - Paide LM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLWL

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