Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Indonesia	Mola TV
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New-zealand	beIN Connect
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South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Palestino		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.1	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.9
	1.65	4.45	3.95	Watch
	1.79	4.1	4.18
	1.88	3.80	3.65	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.69	4.15	4.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	3.99 ↑ (3.62)	4.02 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
53.1%

Draw
23.6%

Bolívar
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Palestino - Bolívar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Palestino (votes: 3 - 60%). Bolívar (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Palestino will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 42. Meza F. 13. Suarez C. 28. Zuniga D. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 5. Fernandez J. 10. Martinez Arce A. E. 9. Castro F. 27. Marabel J. 12. Fernandez R.	1. Lampe C. (G) 22. Rocha Y. 3. Torren M. 5. Echeverria S. 4. Sagredo J. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. (C) 10. Catano D. 99. Batallini D. 9. Cauteruccio M. 17. Pato Rodriguez
Substitutes
14. Abrigo J. 18. Arias J. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 23. Leon J. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 8. Parra P. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 22. Soto B. 20. Tapia Paez G.	20. Ayhuana A. 33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 80. Melgar C. A. 7. Mena F. 25. Mendez D. (G) 8. Paz L. 32. Ramirez R. 35. Rivero E. 77. Romero D. 26. Saavedra E. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 21. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Bovaglio L.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Catano D. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Catano D. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Sagredo J. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
33', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
38', Meza F. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
38', Fernandez J. ↓, Abrigo J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Batallini D. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
52', Justiniano L. 🟨,
60', Castro F. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
60', Fernandez R. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
67', Catano D. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
74', Carrasco B. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
81', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Paz L. ↑,
82', Torren M. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
82', Robson Matheus ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
87', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

Palestino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bolívar is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Palestino is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
16.07.25	Bolívar - Palestino	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.06.25	Huachipato - Palestino	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Palestino - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Palestino - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.25	Palestino - Mushuc Runa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWTL
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.07.25	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.07.25	Bolívar - Palestino	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.07.25	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
07.07.25	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	4:0 ✺
29.06.25	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
16.07.25	Bolívar - Palestino	3:0
Copa Libertadores
28.05.24	Bolívar - Palestino	3:1
04.04.24	Palestino - Bolívar	0:4

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