Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	ESPN
Colombia	ESPN
Indonesia	Mola TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
Usa	beIN Connect, FuboTV
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app


	Palestino		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	3	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.95
	2.6	2.85	3
	2.75	2.79	3.16
	2.66	2.88	3.06	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.88	Watch
	2.61	2.98	3	Watch
	2.6	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.38)	2.86 ↓ (3.31)	3.01 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 6

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
35.9%

Draw
32.8%

Independiente Medellín
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.5%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	58.3%	8.3%

Palestino - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 3. Rojas B. 13. Suarez C. 17. Roman I. 28. Zuniga D. 5. Linares N. 14. Abrigo J. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 7. Carrasco B. 9. Sosa G. 11. Benitez J.	25. Chaux E. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 23. Torijano F. 24. Ortiz J. 7. Varela J. 14. Perlaza B. 15. Alvarado J. 31. Moreno D. 17. Fory J. 9. Sandoval L. 27. Leon Muniz B.
Substitutes
16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 22. Chamorro F. 26. Contreras D. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 20. Garro J. 27. Marabel J. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 24. Palacio P. 19. Vejar B.	3. Aja J. 34. Blanco I. (G) 33. Chaverra F. 12. Chunga J. (G) 26. Graciano C. 77. Jhon Vasquez 5. Lima P. 13. Londono D. 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 20. Montano J. 10. Vinicius Marcus
Coaches
Bovaglio L.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Varela J. ⚽, Chaverra L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Roman I. ⚽, Linares N. (A),
50', 2 - 1, Benitez J. ⚽, Rojas B. (A),
64', Linares N. 🟨,
64', Sandoval L. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
72', Abrigo J. ↓, Chamorro F. ↑,
78', Carrasco B. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
78', Fory J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
78', Moreno D. ↓, Vinicius Marcus ↑,
78', Sosa G. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
83', Benitez J. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
84', Perlaza B. 🟨,
87', Chaverra L. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Varela J. ⚽, Leon Muniz B. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Independiente Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Palestino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.24	Palestino - OHiggins	4:1 ✺
03.08.24	Universidad Católica - Palestino	1:1 ✺
29.07.24	Cobreloa - Palestino	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.07.24	Cuiabá - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.07.24	Palestino - Everton de Viña	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTLWL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
04.08.24	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
22.07.24	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
18.07.24	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
12.02.19	Independiente Medellín - Palestino	1:2 penalties
06.02.19	Palestino - Independiente Medellín	1:1

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