Match Info

Date: 13 May 2021, Thursday


	Libertad Asuncion		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.76	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.74	3.5	4.1
	1.79	3.8	4.21
	1.78	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)	3.62 ↑ (3.59)	4.08 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
52%

Draw
25.4%

Newells Old Boys
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Libertad Asuncion - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Libertad is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newell's Old Boys is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Newell's Old Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Libertad is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Goianiense	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.21	River Plate Asunción - Libertad Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Newells Old Boys - Libertad Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.04.21	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWT
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Newells Old Boys - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.21	Palestino - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Newells Old Boys - Libertad Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.04.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Newells Old Boys - Libertad Asuncion	1:3

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