Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 11

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Usa	Fanatiz


	Palmeiras		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	15	Watch
	1.19	6	11
	1.17	6.85	16.75
	1.21	6.08	13.82	Watch
	1.2	5.8	12
	1.23	6.15	14.8	Watch
	1.19	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.21)	6.13 ↑ (5.33)	13.48 ↓ (16.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
77.8%

Draw
15.2%

Botafogo SP
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.9%

17.4%

5.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Palmeiras - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha (C) 26. Murilo 43. Benedetti 22. Piquerez J. 27. Rios R. 32. Martinez E. 41. Estevao 23. Raphael Veiga 17. Torres F. 42. Flaco Lopez	1. Joao Carlos (G) 2. Wallison 3. Alisson Cassiano 4. Ericson 6. Risso G. 10. Dramisino A. 5. Edson (C) 8. Gabriel Bispo 11. Abdulai S. 7. Jonathan Cafu 9. Alexandre Jesus
Substitutes
40. Allan 35. Fabinho 38. Figueiredo 4. Giay A. 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 1. Mateus Oliveira (G) 12. Mayke 5. Moreno A. 34. Naves 39. Thalys 6. Vanderlan	13. Allyson 24. Brenno Klippel (G) 18. Douglas Baggio 15. Jean Mangabeira 16. Jean Victor 14. Joao Costa 21. Jonas Toro 19. Pablo Thomaz 20. Rafael Castro 17. Silvinho 12. Victor Souza (G) 22. Willian Gabriel
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Ferreira A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Alexandre Jesus ⚽, Jonathan Cafu (A),
26', Alexandre Jesus 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Estevao ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
45+2', Marcio Zanardi 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
50', Joao Carlos 🟨,
55', Wallison 🟨,
61', Marcos Rocha ↓, Mayke ↑,
61', Benedetti ↓, Luighi ↑,
69', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
69', Wallison ↓, Allyson ↑,
69', Piquerez J. ↓, Naves ↑,
70', Murilo 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Torres F. ⚽,
81', Dramisino A. ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
81', Torres F. ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Luighi ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
86', Luighi 🟨,
90', Abdulai S. ↓, Joao Costa ↑,
90', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Pablo Thomaz ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3.

Palmeiras is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Palmeiras is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 1.1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 1.3:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.02.25	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
13.02.25	Internacional de Limeira - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	Água Santa - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
06.02.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Guarani - Palmeiras	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTTW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.25	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
11.02.25	Botafogo SP - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Botafogo SP - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	0:0
02.05.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo SP	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.03.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo SP	1:0
19.01.23	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	0:1
18.04.21	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	0:0
23.01.19	Palmeiras - Botafogo SP	1:0
21.01.18	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	0:1

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