The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras U20 58.3%
Draw 23%
Santos U20 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
23.9%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
22.7%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Santos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palmeiras U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Palmeiras U20 - Santos U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Fabri V. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Nadson ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Juan Gabriel ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Victor Gabriel ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, Joao Ananias (Own goal),
90+3', 3 - 3, Rafael Gonzaga ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, Pedro Assis (Penalty Awarded),
2, Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pepe Fermino (Penalty Awarded),
3, Antonio (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 1.
Both teams arrive in flying form having triumphed in their latest fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Palmeiras U20 for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Palmeiras U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.63.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras U20 has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:14 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Palmeiras U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 17:8 goals (averaging 2.4:1.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 55.55%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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